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معامله گری با سطوح

یک‌سری سطوح در بازار وجود دارد که وقتی قیمت به این سطوح می‌رسد ، به آن واکنش نشان می‌دهد . یا
این سطوح شکسته می‌شوند و یا این‌که قیمت با برخورد به این سطوح برمی‌گردد. بریک اوت یکی از رفتارهایی است که در رابطه با سطوح ممکن است دیده شود . این سطوح تنش مکان‌هایی درمتن بازار می‌باشند که پتانسیل تغییر جهت حرکت قیمت در آن‌جا زیاد است .

حال اگرما بخواهیم وارد معامله برگشتی شویم ، دلیلی ندارد که از منتظر Breakout به چارت نگاه کنیم و بگوییم : این احتمال وجود دارد که بریک اوت نقض شود و برگردد و حالا ما معامله برگشتی می‌گیریم.

چون معاملات ریورسال قوانین خودش را دارد مثال اگر در نزدیکی چارچوب قیمتی و بعد از یک عدم توانایی در ادامه یا پولبک به ریورسال و تشکیل کندل تغییر جریان سفارشات که ترجیحا یک کندل سایه دار باشد و بعد از یک خلصی می توانیم یک معامله برگشتی بگیریم .

پس معاملات برگشتی را باید طبق قوانین خودش ترید کرد و نمی توان هر جای بازار که شکست نقض شد ، وارد معامله بازگشتی شد . مثل این‌که کسی بگوید الان حالم خوب نیست، پس نتیجه بگیریم که حتما حالش بد است . در صورتی‌که ممکن است سرحال نبودن وی به دلیل کم خوابی و یا خستگی باشد نه حتما بدلیل بیماری. بازار هم به همین شکل است و ما نمی‌توانیم بگوییم که چون Breakout نقض شده و بعد از شکست به مسیر خود ادامه نداده
، پس می‌توان معامله بازگشتی بگیریم .

و در مورد حالت اول یعنی حالتی که Breakout نقض نشود هم که ما به عنوان معاملات ادامه دهنده آن را می‌شناسیم طبق قوانین خودش ترید می‌کنیم . یعنی در این حالت Breakout می‌تواند : بعد از یک سطح تغییر فاز رخ دهد . و یا بعد از یک گام و اصلاح معمولی ، و یا یک اصلاح کامپلکس پولبک که در اصل ضعیف ترین حالت روند است و با شرایطی می‌توان با آن وارد ترید شد، رخ دهد. که وقتی بعد از اصلاح ، کندل ها حالت بی وزنی پیدا کردند و کندل تغییر جریان سفارشات دیده شد ، بعد از یک خلصی می توانیم وارد معامله ادامه دهنده شویم . در ادامه قیمت اولین سطح پیش روی که از بالاترین نقطه اکستنشن که کندل‌ها به بی وزنی رسیدند و بعد از آن کارکشن شکل گرفت را می شکندBreakout می کند.

مثال فرض کنید که قیمت در تایم 4H در وسط متن بازار قرار دارد ولی در 1H در نزدیکی یک سطح تنش است . آیا درچنین مواقعی می‌توان معامله بازگشتی گرفت بر اساس تایم 1H ؟

به شرطی می‌توان وارد معامله شد که در تایم 4H قیمت وسط موومنت خود نباشد . اما اگر به انتهای موومنت خود رسیده باشد و کندل‌های بی وزنی دیده شود . در چنین حالتی ما با یک حدضرر کوچک در تایم 1H می‌توانیم وارد معامله مخالف شویم و انتظار داشته باشیم که حداقل در حد پولبک تا %50 گام قبلی حرکت نماید و تا زمانی‌که بی وزنی دیده
شود ما در این معامله می‌مانیم.

سطوح تنش در بازار می‌توانند از دیدگاه تحلیلگران منشاء متفاوتی داشته باشند ، مثال درصد خاصی از اعداد فیبوناچی ، حمایت ها و مقاومت های تاریخی یا اعداد رند ، حمایت ها و مقاومت های پیووت پوینت ها ، بر اساس سطوح ایچی موکو یا کراس مووینگ ها یا هر اندیکاتور دیگر . حال سوال اینجاست که وقتی بازار و معامله گران این سطوح را می‌بینند ، طبیعتا به آن واکنش نشان می‌دهند و همین باعث می‌شود که تغییر در رفتار قیمت شکل گیرد . به مانند سرعت گیری که درجاده وجود دارد و رانندگان در هنگام رسیدن به آن سرعتشان را کم می‌کنند اما گاها دیده می‌شود که قیمت بدون توجه به این سطوح به راحتی از آن‌ها رد شده و Breakout اتفاق می افتد . حال باید به این سطوح توجه کرد یا نه ؟

برای پاسخ به این سوال؛ باید ببینیم نسبت تاثیر گذاری جوامعی که در حال ترید هستند ، بر روی قیمت چقدر است . کسانی‌که از طریق فیبوناچی یا هارمونیک یا ایچیموکو یا هر اندیکاتور دیگری ویا هر ابزار دیگری که در تحلیل کلاسیک مورد استفاده قرار می‌گیرد ؛ اقدام به معامله و خرید و فروش می‌نمایند ، نسبت پولشان چه بصورت دسته به دسته ، چه بصورت جمع همه این‌ها ؛ دربرابر معامله گران سازمانی ، چقدر است ؟ جواب : بسیار ناچیز!!

پیرو مطالب فوق ، متوجه شدیم که : اول رفتار شکل می‌گیرد و بعد سطوح تنش ایجاد می‌گردد ؛ حال در بازار گاها نشانه های ریورسال دیده می‌شود ، اما قیمت در نزدیکی سطح تنش یا انتهای موومنت خود قرار ندارد . اما با توجه به قوانین پرایس اکشن ما اجازه گرفتن معامله برگشتی را نداریم مثال بخاطر اینکه قیمت وسط رنج قرار دارد. آیا می‌توان طبق اصل فوق ، وارد این گونه معاملات برگشتی شد ؟

نه !! چون میتواند این یک فریب و دام باشد ، درنتیجه ریسک ورود به معامله بالا است. قبال در مورد ریسک عنوان شد که هر چه احتمال موفقیت پایین برود ، ریسک بالا می آید . پس برای این‌که ریسک معامله پایین بیاید ، باید وارد معاملاتی شویم که احتمال موفقیت آن بالا است . بدین خاطر در جاهایی دنبالزلبه ورود می‌گردیم که دام های کمتری پهن شده و اگر رفتاری در قیمت مشاهده می‌شود ، طبق اصول می‌باشد نه بابت دام ها. ما نمی خواهیم بخت آزمایی نماییم و درگیر دام‌هایی شویم که بزرگان بازار برای همدیگر پهن کرده اند و چون می‌خواهیم وارد معامله ای با حداقل ریسک ممکن شویم ، از فرصت هایی استفاده می‌کنیم که با احتمال کمتر دام و با احتمال بالاتر ، متاثر از رفتار اصولی معامله گران بزرگ است .

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Chartical rules and regulations
Chartical rules and regulations

Risk disclosure and disclaimer:

Trading in all financial markets, including stocks, currencies, currency pairs, commodities, indices, cryptocurrencies, futures, etc., can lead to large and even irreparable losses to your capital. Therefore, making any transactions in these markets should only be done within the framework of knowing and accepting all the risks.

Due to the general nature of all trading markets, loss is an inseparable part of the trading results of all traders who trade with a variety of methods or tools. So naturally, no matter how you trade in any market, losses are always lurking.

Chartical advises everyone that if you are not yet engaged in trading in the financial markets, avoid doing so. Unless you become aware of all the risks of trading in the financial markets through reliable and scientific sources. All responsibility for the results of trading in these markets is with you.

Chartical collection is only a scientific collection, whose purpose is to improve the knowledge of those interested in financial markets. Chartical does not advertise, promote or encourage trading in financial markets.

Also, all content, trade technology services, artificial intelligence technology services, tools and support, whether free or paid, are only for the personal use of the user (you).

You do not have the right to copy or provide your user panel to others.

In case of violation, legal action will be taken according to the laws of copyright and author's right, and the user's access will be cut off from all services.

In this case, any fees you have paid to Chartical Group or Mr. Ahmadreza Jabal Ameli will not be returned to you, and you have taken away the right of any protest or complaint.

Because this means unilateral termination from your side.

Advertisements, software or companies introduced by Mr. Ahmadreza Jabal Ameli or the Chartical Group are only suggestions, and there is no responsibility for Mr. Ahmadreza Jabal Amili or the Chartical Group.

The research and responsibility of using these software, data or companies is entirely the responsibility of the user (you), and the use of any of them constitutes acceptance of risk and responsibility on your part.

The only certainty in the market is uncertainty.

There is also the possibility of errors in Chartical's data or calculations, although we make every effort to provide good service, but ultimately the decision and responsibility of using Chartical's services rests with you.

We do not make any guarantees for the accuracy of the data and calculations.

Opening a trading account or any activity and transaction, in any of the brokerages or exchanges suggested by Ahmadreza Jabal Ameli or Chartical Group, requires and means accepting the rules and text of the contract, and the agreement between you and the relevant company.

Any reliability, accuracy and speed of service or support are all made by the respective (offered) companies. Any opening of an account or cooperation with brokers or exchanges means accepting the responsibility of the user (you) and does not have any obligation or responsibility for Ahmadreza Jabal Ameli or Chartical Group.

You have waived the right of any protest or complaint against them and the Chartical collection.

All chartical service tools, including trade technology services, artificial intelligence technology, articles, supports, service credit packages, etc., aim to improve the knowledge and skills of traders and those interested in financial markets.

The results of the analysis, predictions, estimates or calculations of any of the instruments, are not signals or trading proposals, etc.

The user (you) is solely responsible for the use of these tools and any profit or loss of trades , and Chartical disclaims all responsibilities.

In Chartical, all the primary data is collected based on the global performance standards of the CFA Institute and processed by mathematical algorithms and finally analyzed with artificial intelligence, but the inherent risks of trading markets still exist and are a potential threat to traders.

Refund:

All chartical online services, including trading technology tools, artificial intelligence technology, data processing, and all service packages, including service usage credit, online service packages and everything else, as well as physical goods, downloads, video training courses or face-to-face, workshops, coachings and workshops cannot be returned, canceled or refunded in any way.

No fee will be refunded under any circumstances.

Because these products or services can be copied and reproduced after purchase; or at the time of purchase, immediately by Chartical or Mr. Ahmadreza Jabal Ameli all the infrastructures for providing the services have been prepared and provided, and the related costs for the infrastructures according to the purchased package or service have been paid.

Just like when a one-month internet package is purchased by a consumer from an operator, but not even 1 minute is used by the buyer. No refund will be made by the operator to the consumer.

As in the example, due to the provision and payment of infrastructure costs for the provision of service to the buyer (consumer) by the operator, there is no possibility of any refund, there is no refund for all Chartical services and products. Because when purchased by the consumer, all infrastructure is paid immediately for the commitment period.

Chartical points:

The points you receive in interactions with the Chartical web application are only virtual points and can only be used on this website, and outside the Chartical web application it has no credit and cannot even be criticized in any way.

Due to security issues and social laws, as well as the personal privacy of the manager or managers, users, professors and analysts, we are prohibited from providing any transactions or transaction history to third parties. And in case of repeating the request or creating a margin and any disturbance, the wrong person's access to all Chartical services will be cut off, and any fees paid by the consumer will not be refunded by Mr. Ahmadreza Jabal Ameli or the Chartical group.

Repeating such a request constitutes a unilateral termination of the contract on your part, and you waive the right of any protest or complaint.

Mr. Ahmadreza Jabal Ameli and Chartical consider it their right to introduce the wrong user as a user of their services and content in social networks, and the user has deprived herself of the authority and right of any complaint or protest.

Also, the wrongful user gives this authority and right to Mr. Ahmadreza Jabal Ameli and Chartical Group, that in case of violation, the wrongful user will be sued and prosecuted by him in the legal authorities.

All the above rules include the brand and name of Mr. Ahmadreza Jabal Ameli and Chartical.

Lifetime subscriptions:

Lifetime subscriptions are valid for as long as Chartical group operates, meaning that lifetime is equal to Chartical's lifetime, not the user's lifetime.

Lifetime subscriptions services correspond to the current services, not the services at the time of purchase of the lifetime subscription. That is, Chartical has the right and permission to unilaterally remove, add or change its services over time in order to improve its services.

If any transfer of subscription to another or any financial or moral or reputational damage is done in any way, the contract will be terminated by the buyer (user) and access to all services of Chartical, Ahmedreza Jabal Ameli and Chartical Collection will be terminated. They have the right to pursue legal actions against the wrongdoer, equal to the losses they have suffered.

Regional and national laws:

Due to the fact that it is almost impossible and unguaranteed to prove the user's place of use of Chartical services, due to the possibility of using IP change tools, any responsibility against the legal restrictions in the user's country is entirely his own responsibility, and Mr. Ahmadreza Jabal Ameli and Chartical Group are exempt from any responsibility against regional or national laws.

Post any message, in any form, on Chartical that is offensive, threatening, political, racist, immoral, pornographic, disrespectful to others and any content about religions will be removed immediately; And your access to all Chartical services will be blocked without any warning, and even if requested by legal and judicial authorities, your information will be provided to them.

Electronic signature:

means any type of sign attached or logically connected to (message data) used to identify the signer of (message data) using a means of remote communication, which means any means that It is used for the sale of goods and services without the physical presence of the supplier and the consumer at the same time, and it is done in the form of a remote contract, which is the request and acceptance of the goods and services between the supplier and the consumer using remote communication devices.

Whenever the law requires a signature, an electronic signature is sufficient.

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